Friday, May 29, 2026

"Rapid Onset Drought" possible as dry conditions continue across the Stateline

 Written By: First Warn Weather Intern Patrick Murray

The Climate Prediction Center has highlighted the entire Stateline region under a risk for what they're calling a "Rapid Onset Drought". A rapid onset drought (also called a "flash drought") happens when abnormally low precipitation amounts are coupled with abnormally high temperatures.

Typically, we don't see our first 90 degree day until June 4th. The past month has included many days with above normal temperatures. This year, we saw our first 90 degree day on May 27th, a full week early.

This is all thanks to high pressure which has been sitting over the Great Lakes region for the past few days. This area of high pressure will slowly shift east as an overall pattern change takes shape, but this likely won't happen until well into the next week.

The current drought monitor from the CPC (valid as of Tuesday) highlights almost the entire Stateline region under the "abnormally dry" category. While we aren't technically in a drought as of now, we will likely see one develop over the course of the next week or so.

Our next decent chance for rain doesn't appear in the forecast until Friday (6/5). There is a slight chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm on Monday (6/1) and Thursday night (6/4), but overall, we look to stay very dry.

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