Temperatures Sunday afternoon warmed into the low to mid 80s over much
of northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. The combination of the
warmth and higher instability allowed a few isolated thunderstorms to
develop over eastern Iowa and central Illinois. The instability (energy)
in the atmosphere over north-central Illinois and south-central
Wisconsin has been a little less, keeping much of the area dry through
the evening. While an isolated storm or two can't be ruled out through
sunset, it does look like most of our Sunday evening will remain rain
free.
Thunderstorms developing over the Midwest and back through the central Plains Sunday evening will pose a risk for severe weather, before forming into a cluster of storms and shifting east during the overnight. It's likely that these storms will weaken as they move closer to Wisconsin and Illinois, but should reach the Stateline shortly before sunrise Monday and could have a few stronger wind gusts and pockets of heavy rainfall.
Depending on how quickly those storms move out, additional thunderstorms
could redevelop ahead and along a cold front Monday afternoon and
evening. If storms were to develop, gusty winds and hail would be the
primary threats. Northern Illinois and much of southern Wisconsin are
highlighted under a 'marginal risk' for stronger thunderstorms for
Monday afternoon and evening. But again, the development of those
storms depends on how quickly the atmosphere is able to destabilize
following rain/isolated thunder Monday morning.
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