Isolated thunderstorms developed over far northwest Illinois and southwest Wisconsin Sunday afternoon, shifting east during the evening. The storms were a result of an MCV (mesoscale convective vortex). Think of this as a small area of low pressure. As that moved into Illinois, it moved into an environment with quite a bit of instability. Thunderstorms were quick to grow, but have so far remained below severe limits locally. There have been a few severe thunderstorm warnings further north in Wisconsin.
The strongest storms will produce wind gusts 40-50mph and possibly small hail. Heavy downpours will also occur, producing a quick half an inch or more for some. Areas along and north of Highway 20 have a higher chance for thunderstorms Sunday evening, but a few isolated storms may be possible further to the south. There is a marginal risk for severe storms Sunday evening, but the risk for storms once these evening ones pass remain fairly low.
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