Friday, November 23, 2012

Still many questions regarding potential snow next week

The possibility of snow early next week is still there but there remains a lot of uncertainty going into the weekend.  The problem with this next storm system are that the models have been very consistent with their track of the low, but each model has had a different track and there seems to be no convergence, just yet, on one solution.  The reason, this storm system is still off the British Columbia coast and isn't expected to move onshore until this weekend.  It likely won't be until Sunday or Sunday night that models begin to come together on a certain track and we'll be able to better pinpoint where exactly snow will fall and where it will remain just plain cold.
The European model, which has been fairly consistent the past several months, has continued with the more southern track taking the low through Missouri and into the northeast.  This would mean a complete miss all together for either rain or snow for us.

The American GFS model, however, continues to bring the low from the panhandle of Oklahoma northeast into Ohio meaning the rain/snow mix line edges closer to the Midwest Monday night into Tuesday.  As I mentioned earlier, until this system moves onshore and we're able to get a better sampling of it with our weather instruments the uncertain track will remain for the next 36 hours.  Friday morning's forecast continued with a chance of rain/snow Monday night and light snow Tuesday of next week. 

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