Update to Saturday Severe Chances

The Storm Prediction Center still has the entire Stateline under a Slight Risk for severe weather on Saturday. Severe storms will be possible as early as Saturday afternoon. The best chance for severe storms will be Saturday evening.

As far as the threat forecast goes, strong winds and flash flooding will be the main concerns. Some larger hail will also be possible, but will be a secondary concern. At this point, the tornado threat will stay low enough to not be a major focal point.


Here's what some of the models are suggesting in terms of timing and storm structure.

RPM Model: Saturday at 3:00pm

Afternoon: Scattered storms will start popping up across the Stateline. The severe threat will depend on how much sun we get during the morning hours. That sunshine will provide the energy needed for severe weather. Strong winds, hail, and flooding will all be possible with these storms.

RPM Model: Saturday at 10:00pm

Evening: Storms will start to organize and are expected to move through as a line. This will be our best chance for severe weather. Strong winds will be the main threat with some flooding also possible.







Stay tuned to WTVO 17, FOX 39, MyStateline.com, and the First Warn Weather blog for more information as our severe threat continues to develop. -BA