Wednesday, September 12, 2018

7am Hurricane Florence Update

As of the 5am EDT advisory, Hurricane Florence remains a Category 4 storm, but Florence's maximum sustained winds have weakened slightly to 130 mph. As it moves through even warmer waters, the potential remains for some strengthening. However, as Florence begins to come into contact with the Carolina coast and southwesterly wind shear it will begin to weaken. It is important to not focus on the foretasted track line and the entire cone of uncertainty because Florence could make landfall anywhere within the cone.

As a result of a blocking high pressure system over the Mid-Atlantic, it will slow Hurricane Florence down. In the end, the high will cause it to stall over the North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia.
As Hurricane Florence stalls out over the Southeast, rainfall totals will range anywhere from 4-15" and could locally top out upwards of 20+" of rain. Early next week, Florence is foretasted to slide north. Then a cold front that will bring us scattered showers early next week will help push the remnants of Florence back out to sea.

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