Monday, May 10, 2010

Stormy in the Plains; Rainy in the Great Lakes


We are going to be getting into a more active weather pattern over the next couple of days, beginning tonight and lasting through Thursday evening. Two storm systems will be impacting the Stateline with the first moving through tonight and the second Wednesday night. While high pressure over the northern Great Lakes will dominate our skies through the morning and even into the afternoon, a very strong storm system will begin to spin through the southern Plains later today. A very strong jetstream moving out of the southwest, combined with the surface low and copious amounts of gulf moisture will lead to a potentially dangerous situation through parts of central Oklahoma and southeast Kansas. A high risk for severe weather has been outlined by the Storm Prediction Center for this afternoon and evening. For us, the low will begin to move into Missouri later this evening and overnight keeping the warm front to the south. Moisture will begin to ride over the warm front providing enough lift to keep a few heavy showers going by Tuesday morning. We could also see a few thunderstorms as well. That system will depart by Tuesday night just in time for our next one to move in by Wednesday. As of right now, this one looks to follow almost the same path as the first keeping a heavy rain scenerio across the Stateline into Thursday morning before the cold front moves through by Thursday evening. Looking at some of the rainfall total forecasts this morning, some are highlighting over 2" by Thursday morning. Of course, this could change as I have seen it do many times. But the potential is there for someone to end up with a lot of rain!





















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