Strong thunderstorms moved through parts of the Stateline Saturday
evening, producing quite a bit of wind damage from Iowa to Illinois.
Skies cleared following the storm activity Sunday as high pressure moved
in over the Upper Midwest. Not only did this help keep us dry
throughout the afternoon, but it also brought down the humidity! Dew
point temperatures dropped into the upper 50s Sunday afternoon, as
temperatures warmed into the low 80s.
Monday will be almost a carbon copy of Sunday, partly cloudy skies and
highs in the low to mid 80s. By Monday night winds will shift around to
the southeast as high pressure slips into the eastern Great Lakes.
Moisture will increase during the day Tuesday as temperatures warm into
the mid and upper 80s. By Tuesday night a cold front will be moving
closer to the Midwest, bringing the risk for severe storms from the
Plains into the Midwest. Most of our Tuesday is looking to remain dry
as the cold front will still be well to the west until evening. Storm
chances will increase Tuesday night as the cold front moves closer,
remaining with us through the day Wednesday.
A strong ridge of high pressure will build across the southern states as
a trough of low pressure develops along southern Canada. This leaves
much of the middle of the country stuck under 'zonal flow' - fast moving
winds within the jet stream, moving from west to east. Within that
flow, little disturbances will move through bringing a threat for
showers and thunderstorms through the end of the week. There will be
many dry hours throughout the week, but the pattern setting up will
likely favor late evening/overnight thunderstorms, known as MCS's
(mesoscale convective systems). These are clusters of storms known to
produce very heavy rain and strong, damaging wind gusts.
At this point, it is hard to say when exactly those storms will move
through, if they will at all, but it looks like we may have a higher
chance for rain/thunder Wednesday, Friday and Saturday night. Under the
ridge of high pressure to the south temperatures will soar into the 90s
and 100s. It's possible we could see some of that heat, but only if
the cold front from Tuesday night/Wednesday remains to our north. If
not, then highs in the 80s and a better chance for thunderstorms will be
likely.
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