Thursday, February 26, 2026

Warm and active pattern kicks off meteorological spring

 Our recent cool and somewhat dry pattern will flip on its head as we head into the beginning of March, otherwise known as meteorological spring. In the upper levels, the jet stream will turn to a Southwest flow, pushing warmer and moist air our direction beginning around mid-next week.

This will bring a steady rise in precipitation chances, particularly beginning Wednesday night. Thursday into next weekend will be increasingly favorable for higher coverage of potential precipitation with the higher moisture moving our direction. By late-week, each day will feature at least a scattered chance for liquid rain, particularly Thursday into the weekend.

This pattern change is also supported by the latest outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center. Their forecast gives us a 50-70% chance to see above average precipitation between next Wednesday into the following weekend, or March 4th-8th. Current models have been trending up, giving us a better and better chance to see more than an inch of rain now through March 8th. Any rainfall we see will greatly help with growing drought conditions across the Stateline, as we have been very dry to start 2026.

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