Saturday, October 13, 2012

Showers Continue, Severe Threat is Low

Rain continues to move east early this afternoon with a few lighter showers continuing into the middle of the afternoon.  A warm front lies just to the southwest of the Mississippi River and will likely remain there until the low pressure system in the northern Plains begins to strengthen and move northeast later this evening.  Extensive cloud cover from the thundershowers earlier today will continue into the afternoon helping to keep the atmosphere across northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin from becoming too unstable.  Areas south of the warm front from southern Iowa to north Texas have the greatest potential to see severe storms along and ahead of a cold front.  As the cold front moves closer to the Stateline tonight there will be more showers/storms that form but because they'll be coming through overnight the severe threat remains low.  Heavy rainfall, however, still looks likely into the overnight.  Some areas could pick up an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall by Sunday morning.



The Storm Prediction Center has shifted the slight risk for severe weather even further southwest of the area with their latest update.  Could be a noisy afternoon for folks in the southern Plains.

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