Friday, October 30, 2015

Rainy Halloween, But Then What?

It has been quiet chilly and dreary across the region lately, and that pattern looks to continue at least for one more day. That normally would be good news, right? Well, in this case it may not be since that one day happens to be Halloween.

A system will move into the region from the south tonight and the moisture will stick around throughout the day on Saturday, meaning a wet Halloween is in store for the Stateline. The rain will likely be the steadiest from sunrise through the early afternoon hours before becoming slightly more scattered in nature and lighter as well later in the afternoon and early evening.

That is some good news for any Trick or Treating activities, as some of us across the area may see some dry weather for at least part of the Trick or Treating time frame. For now, though, I would plan on some showers, so taking the umbrella with you for Trick or Treating will be a safe bet. Now how much rain will we see? At this time, models seem to agree pretty well on how much rain will fall with this system. Combining the models together and attaining an average, the map for rainfall totals comes out to look like this...
Will every location within the 0.50"+ shade see at least a half inch of rainfall? No. But if you reside in that shade of green, a likely rainfall total will be near or slightly more than a half of an inch. The rain will end for everyone late on Halloween evening as we clear out into Sunday. That will be the beginning of a very nice pattern change for the Stateline as sunshine is in the forecast Sunday through Wednesday with a significant warming trend in store as well.
Take a look at where the temperatures go after Halloween. We will see 60's on Sunday and Monday with the potential for 70's on Tuesday and Wednesday before a storm system moves in late in the week that will drop our temperatures back down into the 60's for Thursday, and 50's for Friday. With a stretch of days like this, the term "Indian Summer" can be used, which is essentially a stretch of above normal temperatures that occurs after the first hard freeze of the season, which we already received.

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