Severe Weather this Weekend?

The severe weather we had late on Sunday intensified as it moved east during the afternoon and evening on Monday.  Over 1,000 severe weather reports were recorded through the Ohio and Tennesse River Valleys and Mid-Atlantic.  Of those, 896 came from wind damage alone with 20 reports of tornadoes and 140 hail reports.  Unfortunately there were several injuries and even fatalities as the severe weather moved through.  That system will continue to bring severe weather to the east coast and even Florida before ending this evening.

For us, at least in the near term, no severe weather is in the forecast but that could be changing later this weekend.  A few showers will be possible Wednesday and then again Thursday night into Friday as a warm front lifts to the north.  It's the weekend, however, that has caught our attention.  While there are still some timing issues among the different guidance, an area of low pressure will likely lift northwest of the Stateline Saturday pulling the warm front through during the afternoon.  This may cause a few isolated thunderstorms throughout the day but as a cold front nears Sunday evening, some of those storms could be stronger.  We'll have several days of southerly winds that will not only bring the warmer temperatures but also gulf moisture.  We could very well hit the 70s both Saturday and Sunday before a cold front moves through and drops us back into the 50s for the first of next week.  We'll continue to watch the timing of the cold front for the end of the weekend because a quicker timing, like the GFS has, would likely yield us a better chance for severe weather.