Where are the storms this morning?

Tuesday morning I talked about the potential for heavy rainfall with thunderstorms that would be here by this time Wednesday morning.  Well...a check outside shows some sun with a little fog and a check of the radar shows nothing across N. Illinois and S. Wisconsin.  While there were a few showers early this morning, most of us stayed dry.  So, where was all the rain?

Thunderstorms developed just like they were forecast to Tuesday afternoon in Minnesota and Wisconsin.  Those storms were moving southeast but then tracked east across Lake Michigan and are now in Michigan.  Storms did develop in Iowa late Tuesday evening but as they moved east they encountered a little more of a stable atmosphere.  While there is plenty of moisture at the surface it was a little of a limiting factor a few thousand feet above.  Also, a large cluster of storms have developed in central and southern Missouri basically robbing any storm potential further north of moisture. 

The cold front just passed through Dubuque and is still forecast to move through mid to late morning.  There still remains a possibility of an isolated storm or two developing along the front this morning but if nothing develops by 10am/11am we'll likely go through the day storm free.  To the east, however, storms will be a little more likely as a later frontal passage will occur.  These are for areas mainly east of Highway 47.