Active weather pattern continues through the week

 

After quite the busy evening last night with multiple severe thunderstorm warnings issued, we're waking up to a much calmer situation this morning. As of 4:15 a.m. only a few light showers have hung around the state line with an additional thunderstorm developing over davenport. A few isolated thunderstorms will still be possible through 7 a.m. today however most chances will be higher south of Interstate 88.

Through the rest of the morning and early afternoon the chances for thunderstorms will continue. Towards 8-9 a.m. another round of showers and thunderstorms may develop however those that were to develop would most likely stay south of Interstate 88. This round would conclude by 10-11 a.m.

Another chance for thunderstorms will then evolve into the early afternoon as a cold front begins to move through. Along this front another round of showers and possible thunderstorms may develop closer to 3 p.m. If these were to develop, an isolated severe storm cannot be ruled out with large hail and damaging wind gusts (60 mph+) being the primary hazards.

Transitioning towards the next few days, we'll keep this active pattern around. Thanks to our jet stream shifting to a southwesterly orientation we'll see continued lift and moisture from the Gulf funneled up into the Midwest. This will provide plenty of atmospheric moisture for almost daily shower chances as a few low-pressure systems are also expected to bring enhanced lift to the region.

The highest chances as of now look to come both late Wednesday and into the afternoon on Thursday. These rounds of precipitation will arrive nearly as the same time as our next low-pressure system with the first wave Wednesday night arriving with the warm front with the system.

Temperatures will rise back into the 60's then on Thursday with warmer and more moist air returning to the 60's. This will not only bring the chances of showers once again but also a few thunderstorms cannot be ruled out either as some models have begun to develop some instability. Thursday will need to be watch closely for additional instability developing, as we could see our next possible round of severe thunderstorms begin to take shape.

Thanks to all these precipitation chances we'll be expecting this week to stay on the wet side in terms of our rainfall totals. By the end Friday, we can see multiple areas receive over an inch of rainfall from today and the days to come. Not only will thunderstorms be a threat this week, but the possibility of flooding will also be there with such heavy rainfall forecasted. This will be a changing forecast day by day, so make sure to tune into the First Warn Weather app and updates from the First Warn Weather team!