Mild, but unsettled for the first week of meteorological spring

Mild, but Unsettled:  

After a weekend that brought slightly chilly highs in the upper 30s, milder weather is set to take over as we head meteorological spring. With it however will come several opportunities for rainfall. 

Today will be dry and pleasant, with highs climbing into the mid to possibly upper 40s.  

Overnight Mix:

Clouds will gather up this evening into tonight as the first of many systems pushes in. Dry conditions will hold tight until about midnight, possibly into the early stage of Tuesday morning. After about 2AM-3AM, isolated light showers are expected to filter in from the west. At first, a shallow layer of cold air may allow for a few brief patches of freezing rain, though the expectation is for any mix to quickly turn to plain rain before mid-morning Tuesday. 

Shower coverage will increase slightly late Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon with a few pockets of steadier rain being a possibility. With that being said, several dry periods can also be expected with high temperatures peaking in the low 40s. 

 

  

Late-Week Chances:

Several more storm systems are on the table between Wednesday and early Saturday, resulting in the higher potential for rainfall locally. Next highest chance will arrive Wednesday evening into Wednesday night as a weak surface low wobbles in from the southwest. A better chance for more widespread rainfall will accompany a slightly stronger low and it's associated warm front Friday into Friday night.  

Forecast models continue to show the axis of heavier rainfall ending up to our south. Areas from southeast Oklahoma to central Illinois/Indiana could wind up with 2"-4" of rain during this stretch. 

This of course would be where the highest chance for flash flooding would end up.