Saturday, November 28, 2015

More Rain Not Far Off

We had a soggy Thanksgiving and a cold and cloudy Black Friday. Today was also rather cold and cloudy. We will see a change for the better for your Sunday with sunshine expected. Clouds will increase through the day ahead of our next system that will move in on Monday afternoon. The sunshine we do see will allow temperatures to warm into the lower 40's for most of the Stateline. The sun won't last long because low pressure out across the Central Plains will send cloud cover our way Sunday night and Monday. Rain then moves in Monday afternoon and increases in intensity and coverage Monday night into very early Tuesday morning.

The low will stay off to our northwest this time, which is key because that means we will be to the east of it. Therefore, we will be in the warm sector of the system, which means we will see entirely rain through Tuesday. Currently, it looks likely that we will see roughly fourth-tenths of an inch of rainfall with this system. As the low moves north, it will get caught up in Minnesota and Wisconsin. With it remaining there for a few days, winds will turn northwesterly on the back side of the low (colder air). That means we will see clouds and potentially some very light showers or flurries Tuesday through early Wednesday with the wraparound moisture from that low. The chances of seeing precipitation Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night are not particularly high, but the chance is there for some light rain showers or flurries as the colder air filters in.

This rainfall will add to the above average month of November in terms of precipitation. Thus far this month we have seen 5.02" of precipitation. That is nearly three inches above normal. With the rain expected Monday, our monthly totals will likely end near 2.50" above average. December looks like it will be drier than November as it stands now, per the Weather Prediction Center.

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