Friday, May 19, 2017

Storms and Rain Stay With Us

We've had a little bit of a rough week with the severe weather on Monday and Wednesday, and sadly we didn't get to end the work week much better with a rainy afternoon and colder temperatures in the upper 40°s.  The rain cooled off our temperatures and kept them from breaching 50°, but luckily our temperatures are not looking to cool down much more through the overnight as we'll be in the mid 40°s.  However, more rain will move in around 4am, and then some elevated thunderstorms will accompany the rain around 7am.  A low pressure system is in place in the plains, which has brought a warm front towards our area, thus the rain.  The front will pass through late tomorrow morning giving us a few breaks in from the storms, although we'll still see some rain in those breaks.

As we move into the afternoon, temperatures will warm up into the mid to upper 60°s.  This inflow of warm air will help to re-fuel the thunderstorms and make them stronger, which is why we are under a Marginal Risk for severe weather tomorrow.  The stronger storms will form in southern Illinois, where strong winds and large hail is expected.  The storms will track north after they form, but they will weaken a little as they move into our area.  However, we can't rule out hail quite yet even though these storms will weaken because while the storms are weakening, there could still be a little bit of hail leftover which could fall into our area, most likely quarter-sized.

The storms will move out around 10pm when the cold front passes through.  The front will cool our temperatures into the upper 50°s for Sunday, but there will still be a good amount of moisture which will keep the clouds around.  By Monday we'll see more sunshine during the day and temperatures return to the 70°s, but more rain will move in during the late-night hours.  The rain sticks with us through Tuesday, cooling our temperatures down into the upper 50°s to low 60°s through Wednesday.  There's a small chance for rain Wednesday afternoon with more thunderstorms moving in for Thursday and Friday.  However, by Friday, our temperatures will rebound into the upper 70°s.

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