After large hail, and heavy rain moved through with several severe storms across northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin, we again have the threat for strong to severe storms.
After rain showers moved east of the area through the morning, we will get several dry hours as we head into the afternoon today. A low pressure will move out of the plains and lift to the north and east which will lift a boundary currently over the Stateline to the north as a warm front. Several small disturbances will pass through the upper level flow today, which could begin to start to fire up a few showers and storms. But stronger forcing arrives in the late afternoon and evening bringing the highest chance for rain and storm potential.
Storms look to develop over northern Missouri, southern Iowa, and Illinois this afternoon and then lift north into the Stateline late today. Strong winds, hail, and heavy rain will all be possible as we continue to draw in moisture from the south.
Rain totals could range anywhere from 0.50" to 1.50" for many, with some areas seeing potentially up to 2". The area of storms over northern Iowa will turn into a larger complex of storms and lift into Wisconsin; this area would bring the heaviest rain through the overnight hours.
The enhanced risk for severe weather is over Iowa and northern Missouri, meaning the highest threat for severe storms is in this area. Most of the Stateline is included in a slight risk for severe storms, with areas east of Rockford under a smaller threat for strong storms.
Rain and storms look to stick around through the afternoon and evening, so make sure you stay weather aware should any watches or warnings be issued.
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