Thursday, December 8, 2011

Heavy rain possible next week; Some snow just in time for Christmas??

Next Thursday Morning
An upper level disturbance moving through the Plains late this morning will continue to bring snow to Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana and Michigan by Friday morning.  While we may get a dusting or quick inch from this whatever would fall wouldn't last until Christmas.  The next big system forecast to move in would by towards the middle to end of next week with another low developing in the southwest and lifting somewhere in the Midwest.  The image on the left is the latest run of the GFS weather model which takes an area of low pressure from the panhandle of Texas/Oklahoma and lifts it northward into northern Missouri by next Thursday morning.  If this track were to hold true it would put us on the 'warm' side of the system likely leading to a good amount of rainfall by the middle of next week.  On the flip side, if it were to track a little further east and south we would be on the colder side of the low which would mean a higher chance of a mix or snow. 


Christmas Eve Morning
Looking out even further ahead in model 'la la land' - which according to Meteorologist Eric Nefstead, "It's fun to go out in model la la land sometimes" - could mean some snow just in time for Christmas.  Now before you get too excited remember this is over two weeks away and things will change, BUT if an area of low pressure were to develop in the southern Plains near Texas or Oklahoma and there be enough cold air in place keep the low to our south - kids across the Stateline could be waking up to a white Christmas.  Something we'll definitely keep tabs on in the coming weeks as we've been off to a very slow start to the snow season this year.

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