Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Mild weather continues; Brief pattern break down coming early next week

As Meteorologist Eric Nefstead mentioned in a previous post, temperatures through the remainder of the year will be above average and December will likely go down as one of the top ten warmest Decembers on record.  A lot of the cold, arctic air has been bottled up north with the polar jet stream and really hasn't had much of an opportunity to make much progress south.  A lot of this has to do with the fact that there isn't a blocking high near Greenland like there was last year.  Even though we've had a few cold days the frigid air doesn't stick around because it can quickly move east.  The next several days will feature more of the same with temperatures in the upper 30s/low 40s.  The jet stream pattern basically runs from west to east (zonal flow) which also allows weak disturbances to move across the northern tier of the U.S.  The first will move through tonight followed by another Thursday night.  The latter may track a little further south which will likely increase our chance for a rain/snow mix by Friday morning.  It does look like colder air will move in for the first couple days of the New Year, but temperatures will fall closer to what our average highs should be for this time of year so it will really only feel cooler because we're used to those mild temperatures.

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