Saturday will go down as a dry day with temperatures again stuck in the 70s. That will likely be the trend for the remainder of the holiday weekend as well. A developing low pressure system in Kansas will move into Missouri on Sunday and southern Illinois later Sunday into Monday. Around that area of low pressure will exist a swath of heavy rainfall and potential flooding concerns. Further from the center of that low will exist lighter rainfall totals. The question that is still being thrown around is, "How far north will the rain reach on Sunday and Monday?"
That question is still not an easy one to answer with absolute certainty quite yet. Models continue to fluctuate on how far north the area of low pressure moves, thus how far north the rain shield will ultimately extend.
However, as it appears as of Saturday evening, Sunday will be dry aside from potentially seeing a shower in our far southern regions, such as Paw Paw, Sublette, and southern DeKalb County. It will again be a cloudy and unseasonably cool day like what Saturday has brought. The low looks like it will get closest to the area Monday, according to the latest model guidance. But with plenty of dry air in place across northern Illinois, that still may not be enough to drag the rain showers into the Rockford area. So again, Monday will be dry as it appears now aside from our far southern locations.
Overall, I give you the green light for any outdoor activities Sunday and Monday with the rain likely holding off. Even if we see any rain, it wouldn't be heavy, widespread, or persistent. Therefore, any plans you may have for the remainder of the holiday weekend should be able to go on as planned.
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