Thursday, September 24, 2015

No Rain In Near Future

We have continued to be under the influence of a high pressure system that is located off to the east of the region. That has allowed the Stateline to remain in the "dry air" bubble, which essentially means moisture is having a difficult time moving close to the region from the west. The high pressure acts as a shield for us as it keeps the precipitation away. That is why we've been so dry of late, and why we will likely remain dry through early next week.

Once we get to next Tuesday and Wednesday, things begin to change a little bit. A frontal boundary will be draped across Southern Canada and into North Dakota and Montana by Monday. This will be the focal point for some showery weather for those regions. The front will finally break down the drier air centered over the Midwest and Great Lakes by Tuesday as it continues to sag south. This means some scattered showers are possible on Tuesday and Wednesday as the front moves closer, and eventually moves through the region from north to south. Forecast models are in a disagreement regarding when the front moves through, and how much rain there will be with it. For now, I think it is safe to say some scattered light showers are possible both Tuesday and Wednesday.


This appears to be the only significant rain chance for the next week or so, and the chances are not overwhelmingly high at this time. Also, it does not appear as though there will be much instability (energy) in place, which means our chances for thunderstorms are minimal. And, severe weather is not a threat with this system as it looks currently.

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