Afternoon Update

We're still under a slight risk for severe weather this evening and overnight.  The warm front is ever so slowly lifting north this afternoon.  Looking at some of the short term models, the front is forecast to move just north of us between 4-6pm.  Clouds are trying to break up just to the south so we may be able to get some sunshine in this afternoon.  The surface low is forecast to move into east-central Iowa by late this afternoon.  As it does, thunderstorms will likely rapidly develop ahead of the low and cold front in south-central Iowa and northern Missouri.  As the cold front moves east into Illinois, storms will develop with hail and damaging winds being the primary threat.  The greatest risk for tornadoes remains in southern Iowa, although if we can get storms to rotate some, an isolated tornado can't be ruled out.  Be sure to keep checking back this afternoon for the latest updates!