
Joaquin is expected to intensify with warm ocean temperatures in the Caribbean and weakening wind shear, and could reach category three status. Right now Joaquin will impact the Bahamas through the weekend, but the track after that is very uncertain. That's because it will interactive with an upper level trough and stalled front, so it is hard to determine whether or not there will be direct impact with the East Coast. However, whether on not there is a direct hit, the East Coast will still be greatly impacted by the tropical moisture, allowing for more very heavy rainfall.
A look at the 7-day precipitation forecast shows extremely heavy rain and the threat for flash flooding.
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