It was a noticeably cooler day in the Stateline Friday compared to the near 80-degree highs. But the cool and dry weather will allow for fabulous weather tonight for Friday night football games! Temperatures will fall into the upper 50s by the end of those games, so it may be a little cool by the time the clocks hit triple zeros.
This weekend will be a windy one, with strong gusts upwards of 30 mph both Saturday and Sunday afternoons. On Saturday, those winds will be from a Southerly direction, bringing a bit more warmth and moisture our direction. Sunday is a different story behind a strong cold front, with those gusts ushering in a cooler and drier air mass.
The strong winds paired with our recent dry spell may develop an elevated fire risk, particularly on Sunday. Low relative humidity with dew point temperatures in the 30s Sunday afternoon may set the stage for a brush fire risk to set up given the dry and dead vegetation. Be sure to limit outdoor burning and have a plan in place to put out any small fires that do start!
Another thing the flipping pattern in the wind direction will do this weekend is create another up and down forecast. Southerly winds on Saturday will aid to boost afternoon temperatures into the low 80s. Sunday, the Northwest direction to the wind will keep highs suppressed in the low 70s.
Our lone chance for rain this entire week will come along that cold front Saturday evening. Better forcing and moisture will be displaced closer to the center of the low-pressure system, keeping much of the Stateline likely under dry conditions. There is a slim chance we may be able to squeeze out a shower or two along and North of the IL/WI line, but many will remain dry.
Unfortunately, that is the only chance for rain within the next 7 days, as a very dry pattern will set in across much of the country. The Weather Prediction Center keeps almost all of the lower 48 very dry through the next week.
In even worse news, that dry pattern will continue to remain locked in place through the next week and a half. The 6-10 day outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center have high confidence in a warmer and drier than average pattern for much of the country, including here in the Stateline. The colors translate to a 50-60% probability of below average precipitation and 60-70% probability of above average temperatures between the 10th-14th of October.
Aside from our slim chance for rain Saturday evening, we will remain dry the rest of the week as high pressure takes over Monday and Tuesday. This will keep our temperatures cool, especially overnight, with lows in the low 40s for a few nights. Afternoon highs will remain above average all week, considering average for this time of year is mid-60s. Once that high pressure moves away, we start to gradually warm even more, up into the mid-70s and near 80 again late next week.
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