Tuesday, March 12, 2019

Warm Temperatures, But It Comes With Rain



High pressure yesterday tracked east and cleared skies out overnight. Skies have remained mainly clear across the Stateline into early this morning with calm winds.








On a national view, you can see that the high pressure system is located directly overhead of us. Our next system we're tracking is over southern California and parts of Arizona, and it will make it's way into our neck of the woods over the next several days.






The clear skies and calm winds have allowed temperatures to dip down into the lower 20s this morning. With partly sunny skies for much of the first half of the day, high temperatures should warm into the mid to upper 40s before clouds build in.





So far for March we've been below average all 11 days. Our average high temperature for today is 45°, and we're going with a high of 46°. So today could be the first time all month we've been above average.






After some sunshine today, clouds will build in late this afternoon and into the evening hours. By the time we get around 6pm tonight, rain will move into the area. Expect rain to continue overnight tonight and into Wednesday and Thursday. Some of the rain will be heavy at times, and a few rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out.



By the time we get to Wednesday evening, expect rainfall totals anywhere from .2" to .4". Some models are projecting upwards of .5" to .75" for portions of the Stateline.






Across the country, today's severe weather threat is centered over western and central portions of Texas where there is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms, and even a 5% chance for tornadoes. We here in the Stateline are just outside of the chance for non-severe thunderstorms.




Tomorrow the risk for severe thunderstorms shifts eastward. eastern Texas and southern parts of the Mississippi Valley will be in a marginal to slight risk for severe thunderstorms. We here in the Stateline will be in the area where we have the chance for non-severe thunderstorms.




Thursday the threat only shift east slightly, but it also shifts northward. The Storm Prediction Center currently has the eastern half of the Stateline in a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms.







With all the rain we saw over the past weekend, and the rain expected starting tonight through Thursday could cause some flooding issues. We are already dealing with Flood Warnings and Advisories across the Stateline because many rivers are already at action stage.





In addition to the expected rainfall over the next several days, the warm temperatures are also causing snow melt. So with that said, the grounds across the Stateline are already dealing with extremely high moisture contents.

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