Friday, October 14, 2016
Strong Thunderstorms Possible This Weekend
That question is difficult to answer with complete accuracy. However, forecast models are in good agreement with drawing in a thin ribbon of instability (CAPE) Saturday night. Strong low-level winds several thousand feet above the ground will allow the storms to maintain their intensity through the night. In addition, moisture will be drawn in from the Gulf of Mexico. These components are supportive of strong to marginally severe thunderstorms. That is why the Storm Prediction Center has placed half of the area under a "Marginal Risk" for severe weather late Saturday evening. The main threats will be gusty winds and marginally severe hail. Will everyone get in on the thunderstorm action? No. Is severe weather a guarantee? Definitely not. It is certainly possible, though, due to the variables we will have in place.