Possible development in the Gulf of Mexico

Looking at the satellite imagery this morning and there are a couple interesting features that I want to point out.  First, is a broad area of moisture centered in the Gulf of Mexico with a tropical wave in the northwest Caribbean Sea.  Our weather computer models over the past 24 hours have wanted to develop an area of low pressure and actually move it into either the southeastern coast of Texas or Mexico by this weekend.  While this probably won't turn into a tropical storm or hurricane, it would provide beneficial rainfall to southern Texas.  As we know, folks there have been dealing with an exceptional drought all summer.

Another reason to watch these two features closely is because if they were to develop into some sort of low pressure system, we might not see as much moisture return northward later this week and into the weekend.  There are some differences, however, among model guidance as just to when, how fast and where these features track.  A quicker movement/development would mean not a lot of moisture would become wrapped within the system but a slower development would yield more moisture and then more rainfall for parts of Texas.  Something very interesting to monitor the next 48 hours.  Either way, it looks like Texas may get some rain late Wednesday and into Thursday!!