A lot of times when you get a strong complex of thunderstorms move over an area in the morning (this morning was an example), the lingering cloud cover makes it difficult for more storms to re-develop in the afternoon and evening. That's partially what's happening tonight across the Stateline. In addition to crediting the afternoon clouds to a quiet evening of weather, subsidence or "sinking air" in the wake of that departing upper-level disturbance (the one that bought us the heavy rains this morning) is preventing any vertical cloud growth. Therefore, I plan on removing that slight chance of storms from the forecast this evening.
Although we have a cold front on its way to the area tomorrow, I think its late-morning passage will be too early for it to trigger thunderstorms. Therefore, I will continue to forecast a dry day tomorrow.
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