It has been quite the warm and mild stretch for the first half of November, but we will likely see some big changes on the way. It all starts with the upper-level pattern into next week, where this large upper-level trough looks to develop mid-week. A trough of this size typically favors a big draw of cold air on the back side, so the placement of the trough will be a big player into how much cool air we see.
If the trough settles mostly West of us, milder air will be the story locally with Southerly flow, keeping us relatively warmer. Compare that to an Eastern trough with strong Northerly flow and cooler air being drawn in locally. In either scenario, temperatures will be cooler than they have been as of late, so a cool-down closer to average will be likely next week either way.
Looking ahead to the last week of the month, the trends from the Climate Prediction Center do not strongly favor above or below average temperatures locally between the 22nd-28th. This would favor temperatures near average, with highs in the low to mid 40s and lows in the upper 20s. Compare that to the 50s and 60s high temperatures we have been getting so used to this month!
No comments:
Post a Comment