Scattered showers and thunderstorms are all that's left of what used to Tropical Storm Dorian. These storms remain a few hundred mile north of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands of as late Monday morning. The disturbance doesn't appear to have much low level circulation associated with it and the environment it's moving into is only slightly favorable for redevelopment of tropical conditions. The National Hurricane Center is giving this low roughly a 40% (less than half) chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours. Current movement of the system is to the west and northwest at 15 mph. If the decision is made that further investigation into the low is needed there is an Air Force Reserve Unit Reconnaissance aircraft scheduled for later this afternoon if needed.
Meanwhile, further west Tropical Storm Flossie continues to move west and is expected to impact the Hawaiian Islands later today and tonight. As of 11am CDT the storm has taken a slight shift northwest and is moving west/northwest around 16 mph. The storm is moving into an environment not favorable for further storm development, however, Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for the Hawaiian Islands. Strong winds, heavy rain and high surf can all be expected.
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