Dry October, What About November?

Now that we are ending the month of October, we can reflect on the precipitation totals for the month, which were upped significantly after the rainfall we received today. However, we still ended the month drier than average with a total of 2.02" of rain in Rockford. That total is over six tenths of an inch below average for the month. So, while we ended drier than average, the rain we received on Halloween was very beneficial and allowed the month to avoid being even drier. Now, where do we head from here?

The month of November is looking wetter than average through at least the first half of the month, according to the Climate Prediction Center. Here is their outlook for the next 8-14 days (the first seven days are looking average in terms of precipitation).

The Stateline falls in the light green shade, which indicates a 33-40% chance of seeing above average precipitation during the middle of the month of November. As of now, it looks as though a system will move through between the 12th and 14th, and that could give the region a decent rainfall, which is probably what the Climate Prediction Center is looking at when suggesting we could see above average rainfall during this period.

Getting into a wet pattern is something we could benefit from here because we are below normal for the year in terms of rainfall. Therefore, if this prediction comes to fruition, it would be a positive for the Stateline.