Storms move east; More possible later today

After some heavy rainfall this morning, the storms have now moved east of I-39.  Clouds thin some later this morning and afternoon and as a warm front moves north.  The heavy rain in central and northern Wisconsin will likely slow the progression of the warm front some as the heat and instability build behind it.  The image on the left shows the 850mb moisture transport.  Basically all you really need to know is the areas shaded in pink are the regions of higher moisture transport.  This is important because this is where the heavy rain could be possible later this evening and overnight.  Studies have shown that higher values of moisture transport have been related to heavy rainfall events.

A slight risk of stronger storms still remains across southern Wisconsin and northern Illinois for later this afternoon and into the evening.  As skies continue to clear any outflow boundaries from the storms to our north could interact with the warm front to help ignite more storms later this afternoon/evening.  Should storms form strong winds and heavy rainfall would be of primary concerns.  We'll continue to monitor trends to the north and northwest across Iowa, Wisconsin and Minnesota for any development later this afternoon.  Just be aware that some areas across the region could be dealing with substantial amounts of rain within the next 36 hours.