Thursday, December 19, 2024

Early look at the Stateline's Christmas weather forecast

 Will it be a white Christmas in the Stateline this year? A white Christmas is officially when there is 1" or more of snow depth Christmas morning. Historically, Rockford has a slightly less than 50/50 shot of a white Christmas, only meeting those criteria 45% of the time. But we have seen decent snowfalls, including more than 3" of snow between Tuesday and Wednesday nights.

Over this weekend, we will continue to see cooler weather stick around with highs well below freezing and overnight lows in the teens for a few days under high pressure. This chill will help to keep some of the snow around at least through the weekend.

But the overall pattern will flip into early next week and beyond. There is a 90-100% probability to see above average temperatures between the 25th and 29th of December. This would indicate far more 40s and 50s than 20s and 30s like is average for this time of year. Unfortunately, that means the snow we have in place now may not remain too much longer. But will it be 1" on Christmas morning? Possibly, but no guarantee. Forecast high temperatures are currently between 36-39° from Monday to Thursday next week, so some melting of the snow can be expected.

Christmas Day is unlikely to feature fresh-falling snow showers, with a higher chance for rain than snow. High temperatures will be in the upper 30s during this time.

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