Friday, May 15, 2026

Summer vibes return—storm chances climb

Extremely Dry May:

Talk about a flip of the switch. Just weeks after seeing the 7th wettest April on record, the Stateline has done a complete 180  May is now trending as the 4th driest on record so far. From soaking rains and multiple episodes of severe weather to extremely dry conditions, it's been a dramatic shift in our pattern, and one that's been felt by many.  

Dry & Warm Friday:

We did see a weak system come through overnight, bringing us a few light showers. A lingering shower and some early clouds will hang around for the start of the day, but improvements are on the way. Sun gradually breaks through as we get into the afternoon hours. That, along with a increasing wind out of the south will result in a warmer and above-average end to the work week with upper 70s.  

Overnight Storms:

Our attention will then turn to the west where storm are expected to develop across Iowa. Those storms could organize and maintain some strong to severe characteristics as they track east over the Mississippi River. While they may gradually weaken, strong winds, heavy downpours, and hail will be the primary concerns with any severe storm.  

Weekend Outlook:

The rest of Saturday aims to remain dry. After early-day clouds give way, we'll stay dry through the afternoon with highs climbing into the mid 80s - a very summer-like afternoon. 

That said, the quiet stretch won't last long as another round of storm chances arrive late Saturday into Sunday. This may end up putting a lid or cap on the atmosphere for the rest of the afternoon and evening. Even so, we'll need to keep an eye on things as we do have a warm front lifting through late Sunday morning into Sunday afternoon. The highest potential as of this morning comes in on Monday as a strong low and a cold front enter the equation.  

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