Sunday, June 30, 2024

Isolated thunderstorm chances return this week

 With a calm and relatively cool start to the week, thunderstorms return along with 80-degree heat as we progress through the rest of the week.

With zonal flow and a few low-pressure systems making their way through the Northern United States this week, fronts and enhanced upper-level winds will bring higher rainfall and thunderstorm chances.

After Monday temperatures get back into the 80's as a warm front Tuesday is the start of that. Tuesday in particular will be a day to keep an eye on as currently the Storm Prediction Center has outlined a 1/5 marginal risk for the region.

This outlook mainly highlights the threat for evening thunderstorms along a cold front moving east from Iowa. However, a round of thunderstorms Monday night int Tuesday morning seems likely as well. At this time the bigger focus will be on the later round as there will be the chance for isolated severe potential as instability combined with the eastward moving cold front may initiate storms.

Looking into the rest of the week with passages of fronts through the days and nights shower and thunderstorm potential continues through the week.

Thursday will be on everyone's radar as Independance Day is quickly approaching. During the day on the 4th a warm front will move through the region bringing isolated shower and thunderstorm chances through in the afternoon to early evening hours. Timing on this warm front will need to be forecasted further however it does seem like most precipitation chances along the front seem to move out by 4 p.m. just in time for grilling and fireworks to start! However, trends with this warm front will need to be further monitored, but the night of 4th of July should be very comfortable.

Moving into the rest of the week where thunderstorm chances continue into Friday. Chances Friday are heavily dependent on the movement of the warm front and associated low pressure system together. During Friday morning the trailing cold front with the low-pressure system previously mentioned moves through and with any moisture leftover at least a round of showers and possible thunderstorms seems possible.

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