Thunderstorm chances increasing to start next week

 With a comfortable stretch of temperatures sticking around the past couple of days we can begin to look forward to Father's Day weekend! The good news is that temperatures look to remain consistent both today and tomorrow, however heading into next week warmer temperatures with higher chances of thunderstorms looks likely as well.

Temperatures aren't expected to move much these next two days as upper-level ridging sets in which will give us calmer and pleasant weather. More sunshine can be expected the next two days as well which may help those temperatures feel a little warmer! The only chances for precipitation this weekend will be in the evening hours both today and tomorrow, with both chances remaining very isolated (20%) with slightly higher chances coming late Sunday night.

Shifting our focus now to the beginning of the week the "ridge" of high pressure we will be under will flatten out allowing for a few upper-level disturbances to develop. Now that we're in the full swing of summer, moisture is usually present to help fuel showers along with instability which gives us our summertime pop up thunderstorms. In our summertime environment all you need is a little spark to force a shower or thunderstorm, and by Monday/Tuesday we will see a few of these disturbances pass through.

The main focus for thunderstorm development will be for Wednesday as our next low-pressure system approaches within a stronger upper-level disturbance. We'll also see dewpoints near 70 degrees heading into Tuesday which will allow for instability to develop easily. With the disturbance in place, we'll also see the presence of some shear within our atmosphere to help organize thunderstorms with some of those possibly being severe. The forecast will be changing in the coming days however Wednesday will be the main focus heading into next week.

Beyond that though temperatures look to keep climbing heading into next weekend and the beginning of next week. Upper-level ridging and high pressure is expected to develop allowing warm temperatures to move well into the Midwest!