Morning lows are back in the 40s this morning as the day kicks off with more cloud cover and more of a wind. This warmer and breezy start is a sign for things to come as we can expect significant warming to occur prior to Easter Weekend.
Cloud cover hangs tight for much of our Thursday as our next storm system swings into the plains. Ahead of this system, a few showers will be possible, mainly after the midday hours. Despite the gloomy outlook, today's increasing southerly and southeasterly wind will allow temperatures
to climb into the low 60s. Should we see a little more sunshine, temperatures
could reach the mid 60s.
Overnight is when we see our first window for strong to severe storms arrive. Most will pass to our north and west, though an isolated storm or two capable of producing large hail will be possible. For this, the Storm Prediction Center has left most of the region under a level 1, Marginal Risk.
As this storm system lifts to our north, winds take a turn to the southwest. This will push afternoon highs into the upper 70s, close to 80. Along with this warmth comes a jump in moisture and energy, which will allow a second chance for strong to severe storms to materialize ahead of a cold front. Now, whether we see the opportunity for severe storms Friday afternoon and evening will all depend on this cold front. A slower cold front will give us a slightly higher chance for isolated severe development whereas a faster front will push the threat to our south and east.
I'm leaning towards the quicker frontal passage. With that being said, continue to keep tabs on the forecast as there still is time for changes to occur. Temperatures behind the cold front will significantly cool, landing near 60
° Saturday afternoon, then low 50s for Easter Sunday. If you have plans during the afternoon or evening on Easter, have the umbrella handy. Forecast models do show another storm system lifting into the Midwest, increasing our chance for rain and possibly a few thunderstorms.
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