Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms this weekend

 After setting the record high temperature for Rockford yesterday, we look to once again stay warm today although not to the record levels we reached yesterday. Another common theme from yesterday will be a few more rounds of showers and thunderstorms look possible through the weekend.

Starting with today where we will stay warm through the day today, however some scattered rain showers through the day will offer cloud cover unlike yesterday. Scattered showers will be possible anywhere from 12-6 pm later today with chances decreasing into the evening. However, as we go into the overnight hours, a few thunderstorms may be possible although severe thunderstorm chances remain higher to our west.

 

Timing those showers out today, rainfall should not be widespread however instances of sprinkles and some heavier downpours will be possible through much of the afternoon and early evening. Right now, chances for a few showers looks to be highest around the 5 pm timeframe as both moisture and lift in the atmosphere line up at a better time to offer more showers. These showers shouldn't be enough to ruin anyone's day though as most of these will not last long and will be relatively light.

Into tomorrow however, thunderstorm and severe thunderstorm chances begin to rise as we move into the morning. Right now, southeastern portions of the state line are under a slight (2/5) risk while northwestern portions are under a marginal (1/5) risk. Primary concerns with tomorrow's system will be damaging winds and hail as the warm front will be right overhead. Areas to our south and east will have higher chances as much more instability will be present.

 

The best of the instability that will be transported into our region will be during the morning hours right before the cold front comes through. The good news is that with the cold front arriving early, instability will not be able to increase much with less sunshine to improve it. However, some moderate instability is expected to develop promotion some thunderstorms. But as seen on future cast, those stronger thunderstorm chances will be highest to our south and east.

We're not done talking about severe weather though! Into the middle of the week, another dynamic weather system will move through the Midwest offering another chance for showers and thunderstorms. With the combination of good moisture and upper-level winds being modeled, the storm prediction center has issued a slight risk for much of the state line. Placement and agreement will be moved around over the coming days; however Wednesday will be another day to keep an eye on.