Sunday morning weather update

 

Currently, showers and thunderstorms have developed over central portions of the state line and are quickly moving east. These storms will be capable of a few heavy downbursts at times as well as a few flashes of lightning and thunder but won't pose a threat for severe weather.

 

The main focus today will be our chances for severe weather into the afternoon. The good news is that the Storm Prediction Center has downgraded our chances for much of the state line as most of the region is now under a marginal 1/5 risk. The primary concerns with these storms will be a few damaging wind gusts along with some small hail however there may be isolated and even possibly no storms this afternoon.

The afternoon round of thunderstorms will rely on the how the first round of thunderstorms evolves this morning. Through the morning from 7-11 a.m. a round of thunderstorms is expected to move through although most of these aren't expected to be severe. Still through the morning a few heavy downbursts with consistent lightning and possibly some small hail will be possible. With the morning round moving through, any available instability will be eaten up by these storms and depending on how the atmosphere recovers into the afternoon, we will see how severe weather trends into the afternoon.

Into the evening thunderstorm development would range from 2-5 p.m. however through the afternoon the best of the instability and moisture will gradually slide south and east. As of now future cast along with other models are in agreement on isolated to no storms developing in the afternoon hours. However, the threat is not completely out of the woods as with extra sunshine or weaker morning storms, any instability hanging around into the afternoon will aid in thunderstorm development. If storms do fire into the afternoon these have the possibility of being severe with damaging winds and small hail being the primary threat.

Make sure to pay attention to any watches or warnings issued today!