While it has been warmer than average throughout the weekend, we have thankfully avoided the humidity that typically comes along with this warmth. Unfortunately, the rest of this week does not fare so well. We will see afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for the next several days, but the humidity will be on the rise with dew points reaching the 60-degree mark by Tuesday afternoon.
This higher dew point will allow for spotty rain and storm chances to begin developing during the afternoons as well. Much of Monday is still dry, but our initially scattered rain chances will begin to slide in Monday evening and Monday night. Tuesday will likely bring the highest coverage of showers and a few storms, with the highest threats being quick downpours and lightning. With a lack of upper-air support, these storms will be pulse-like in nature and likely not hover over any one location for very long.
A similar chance for spotty showers and storms will be possible Wednesday, but in a lower coverage than Tuesday will be. This is due to a little bit of drier air eating in from the West, limiting some of the moisture and therefore rain coverage. High temperatures Wednesday will likely reach the low 80s with these spotty showers, so it will be warm and humid day.
The warm and humid air mass will continue to remain locked in place as a stronger system arrives Thursday into Thursday night. This interaction may produce a few strong to severe storms within our region, as there will be a lot of storm fuel in place ahead of the system itself.
This would be a window to watch for strong or severe storms, as the Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the region under a risk for severe weather Thursday. There are still many different mechanisms and timings that have to get sorted out for this severe risk to develop, so keep tuned to the forecast as things become clearer.
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