As we get ready to flip the calendar page over to a new month it looks like our weather will also flip into more of a summer-like pattern as temperatures warm back to, and above, average for the beginning of June. This will also lead to more of an active pattern, one that could feature more opportunities for showers and thunderstorms across the middle of the country.
Longer-range outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center highlight a higher probability for above average temperatures across much of the Midwest and Great Lakes during the first week of June. There is also a higher probability for above average precipitation as the jet stream becomes more active, moving from southwest to northeast.
High pressure will eventually build over the Southeast allowing the jet stream to be pushed to the north.
Where exactly the jet stream ends up will not only determine where the more active storm track will reside, but also where the heart of the heat will sit. If the jet stream remains displaced more to the north of the Stateline it would keep the storms to the north, leaving the region under mostly dry and warm/hot conditions.If, however, the jet stream remains close by - or even right on top of us - the hopes of having the heat return would likely be limited with several chances for showers and thunderstorms. This more active pattern would also increase the potential for severe weather as storms feed off of the building heat to the south. While it's too early to get into specifics of where exactly this pattern develops, it looks like our weather locally will become a little more active by the middle to end of next week.




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